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Voter profile

Mike Breen

ESPN 2019–2020ABC/ESPN 2017–2018ABC Sports 2015–2016
Ballots cast
36
Seasons
6
2015–2020
Mean similarity
0.81
field 0.77 (+0.04)
No-overlap ballots
0
shared no name with the top

Similarity is rank-biased overlap against each award's final order of finish — 1.00 is the consensus exactly, 0.00 shares no name with it. It measures how unusual a ballot was, not whether it was right: if the panel gets a season wrong, the voter who got it right scores as the outlier.

Least conventional ballot
2020 Most Improved Player — ranked Bam Adebayo, then Devonte' Graham, then Christian Wood, similarity 0.28. The award went to Brandon Ingram, who isn't on it.

Every ballot

2020

AwardTheir rankingSimilarity
Sixth Man of the Year
  1. 1 Montrezl Harrell,
  2. 2 Dennis Schroder,
  3. 3 Lou Williams
1.00
Coach of the Year
  1. 1 Nick Nurse,
  2. 2 Mike Budenholzer,
  3. 3 Billy Donovan
1.00
Defensive Player of the Year
  1. 1 Giannis Antetokounmpo,
  2. 2 Rudy Gobert,
  3. 3 Marcus Smart
0.72
Most Improved Player
  1. 1 Bam Adebayo,
  2. 2 Devonte' Graham,
  3. 3 Christian Wood
0.28
Most Valuable Player
  1. 1 Giannis Antetokounmpo,
  2. 2 LeBron James,
  3. 3 James Harden,
  4. 4 Kawhi Leonard,
  5. 5 Anthony Davis
0.91
Rookie of the Year
  1. 1 Ja Morant,
  2. 2 Kendrick Nunn,
  3. 3 Brandon Clarke
0.89

2019

AwardTheir rankingSimilarity
Sixth Man of the Year
  1. 1 Lou Williams,
  2. 2 Domantas Sabonis,
  3. 3 Montrezl Harrell
1.00
Coach of the Year
  1. 1 Mike Budenholzer,
  2. 2 Mike Malone,
  3. 3 Doc Rivers
0.83
Defensive Player of the Year
  1. 1 Rudy Gobert,
  2. 2 Paul George,
  3. 3 Kawhi Leonard
0.72
Most Improved Player
  1. 1 Pascal Siakam,
  2. 2 D'Angelo Russell,
  3. 3 Buddy Hield
0.89
Most Valuable Player
  1. 1 James Harden,
  2. 2 Giannis Antetokounmpo,
  3. 3 Paul George,
  4. 4 Stephen Curry,
  5. 5 Damian Lillard
0.71
Rookie of the Year
  1. 1 Luka Doncic,
  2. 2 Trae Young,
  3. 3 Deandre Ayton
1.00

2018

AwardTheir rankingSimilarity
Sixth Man of the Year
  1. 1 Lou Williams,
  2. 2 Eric Gordon,
  3. 3 Fred VanVleet
1.00
Coach of the Year
  1. 1 Dwane Casey,
  2. 2 Quin Snyder,
  3. 3 Brett Brown
0.89
Defensive Player of the Year
  1. 1 Rudy Gobert,
  2. 2 Joel Embiid,
  3. 3 Al Horford
0.89
Most Improved Player
  1. 1 Victor Oladipo,
  2. 2 Clint Capela,
  3. 3 E'Twaun Moore
0.89
Most Valuable Player
  1. 1 James Harden,
  2. 2 LeBron James,
  3. 3 Anthony Davis,
  4. 4 Damian Lillard,
  5. 5 Russell Westbrook
1.00
Rookie of the Year
  1. 1 Ben Simmons,
  2. 2 Donovan Mitchell,
  3. 3 Jayson Tatum
1.00

2017

AwardTheir rankingSimilarity
Sixth Man of the Year
  1. 1 Eric Gordon,
  2. 2 Andre Iguodala,
  3. 3 Patty Mills
0.89
Coach of the Year
  1. 1 Mike D'Antoni,
  2. 2 Scott Brooks,
  3. 3 Erik Spoelstra
0.72
Defensive Player of the Year
  1. 1 Draymond Green,
  2. 2 Kawhi Leonard,
  3. 3 Rudy Gobert
0.83
Most Improved Player
  1. 1 Nikola Jokic,
  2. 2 James Johnson,
  3. 3 Tim Hardaway Jr.
0.28
Most Valuable Player
  1. 1 Russell Westbrook,
  2. 2 James Harden,
  3. 3 Kawhi Leonard,
  4. 4 LeBron James,
  5. 5 Isaiah Thomas
1.00
Rookie of the Year
  1. 1 Dario Saric,
  2. 2 Malcolm Brogdon,
  3. 3 Buddy Hield
0.56

2016

AwardTheir rankingSimilarity
Sixth Man of the Year
  1. 1 Andre Iguodala,
  2. 2 Jamal Crawford,
  3. 3 Enes Kanter
0.67
Coach of the Year
  1. 1 Steve Kerr,
  2. 2 Gregg Popovich,
  3. 3 Terry Stotts
0.83
Defensive Player of the Year
  1. 1 Kawhi Leonard,
  2. 2 Draymond Green,
  3. 3 DeAndre Jordan
0.89
Most Improved Player
  1. 1 CJ McCollum,
  2. 2 Will Barton,
  3. 3 Giannis Antetokounmpo
0.72
Most Valuable Player
  1. 1 Stephen Curry,
  2. 2 Russell Westbrook,
  3. 3 LeBron James,
  4. 4 Kawhi Leonard,
  5. 5 Kevin Durant
0.83
Rookie of the Year
  1. 1 Karl-Anthony Towns,
  2. 2 Kristaps Porzingis,
  3. 3 Devin Booker
0.89

2015

AwardTheir rankingSimilarity
Sixth Man of the Year
  1. 1 Lou Williams,
  2. 2 Andre Iguodala,
  3. 3 Tristan Thompson
0.61
Coach of the Year
  1. 1 Steve Kerr,
  2. 2 Mike Budenholzer,
  3. 3 Brad Stevens
0.56
Defensive Player of the Year
  1. 1 Kawhi Leonard,
  2. 2 Draymond Green,
  3. 3 DeAndre Jordan
1.00
Most Improved Player
  1. 1 Jimmy Butler,
  2. 2 Rudy Gobert,
  3. 3 Hassan Whiteside
0.72
Most Valuable Player
  1. 1 Stephen Curry,
  2. 2 James Harden,
  3. 3 Russell Westbrook,
  4. 4 LeBron James,
  5. 5 Chris Paul
0.89
Rookie of the Year
  1. 1 Nerlens Noel,
  2. 2 Andrew Wiggins,
  3. 3 Nikola Mirotic
0.50

Independent, non-commercial project for analysis and education — not affiliated with or endorsed by the NBA. Data from public NBA releases (pr.nba.com), tabulated by Ernst & Young. Source ↗